U.S. Senate
See Full Big Line
(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
See Full Big Line
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
See Full Big Line
(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
See Full Big Line
(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) George Stern
(R) Sheri Davis
50%↑
40%
30%
State Treasurer
See Full Big Line
(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
May 21, 2007 04:26 PM UTC
34 Comments
Welcome to the campaign Jared, and good luck!
Good luck Jared!
…I bid $1.5M
Jared is going to be a strong candidate. I’ve yet to see a single poll here that would suggest Joan has this thing locked up. Since theren’t any polls out there yet we are all just guessing anyway.
He’s a methodical person, and the Amendment 41 thing is already stale.
He had an op-ed piece in the Camera – this past Sunday I think. He didn’t even do the “mistakes were made” and instead laid all blame on the leg not writing a law to change the meaning of the amendment.
I think he is unwilling to admit even to himself that 41 was a mess and so it’s an avenue of attack. Don’t know for sure if it will matter but it is a weakness he has.
And the potential big bomb is the state supreme court finding the legislation violates the amendment and we go in to November with schoolteacher’s children unable to accept scholarships. If it happens on that schedule he’s dead.
…so, if it’s found to be unconstitutional, she will have to answer for it too, although not as much as Polis.
There have been a number of studies that have found the correlation between money and winning is that people tend to donate to the winners, not that the money creates the winner.
More money helps – a bit. But there are a lot of very rich people who tried to buy themselves an office and failed. I think the amount Jared raises outside of family is the real interesting number.
But, many self-funders are also far less talented campaigners than JP. A schmuck that spends a ton of their own money is still a schmuch. But someone w/ the political skill of JP and pockets as deep as his are, poses a different situation.
He has definitely been politically active – but has he demonstrated much political skill? I haven’t seen him do much at all in terms of politiking.
Again, in comparison to other self-funders, he stands out in my opinion. Look around the country at other people who ran for the House in recent years: Bob Lamutt in GA, Ben Streusand in TX, John Davis in NY, Cafro in OH…all of them lost b/c they were political rookies who had no idea what they were doing. (Sorry to drop a bunch of random names…I have a scarry-good memory)
JP has at leat been elected to something and all the crap he does with schools helps his credibility even further. Am 41, regardless of the debacle that it was, still was major “politicking” as well.
Mind you, I couldnt care less who wins…it’ll be a Dem in Nov unless something crazy happens as youre well aware. It just seems to me that if JP digs as deep as he can, there’s no way JFG will be able to keep up…
He’s a smart kid. He’s probably paid for a few polls himself that have led him and his team to believe this is something that can be accomplished.
get the “Education Update” this weekend that Jared paid for?
Cash on hand means nothing for Jared as he only has to write a check.
Anyone prepared to guess how much cash on hand the following will have on July 1, the day after the next reporting quarter ends:
Joan Fitz-Gerald
Will Shafroth
Angie Paccione
Brandon Shaffer
I’ll bet $500,000 for Fitz-Gerald and under $100,000 for all the rest.
But, I think you underestimate Shafroth. He has some big time supporters (including Tom Strickland, for example) and has the potential to get some solid seed money.
As for JF-G, keep in mind she was not able to raise a single penny while she was in session. It’s going to be a furious six week period for them – I bet they get somewhere between 200 and 300k by July 1.
Hard to read on CD-4. Angie has SOME staunch supporters, but I think many will give to Shaffer just because they may perceive him to be more electable. The big thing there is not to let the primary to degenerate into some sort of slug fest, otherwise Maralyn will cruise to another re-election.
gets to $500,000. Current members of congress aren’t doing $500,000 a quarter yet.
At least as far as Shafroth is concerned.
Every bill, initiative, amendment, etc to limit contributions is a big help to Jared’s campaign because it limits the others but no him.
THere are no totally disinterested people in politics…
With Steve Adams gone, there’s no way in hell Fitz-Gerald will have 500k on hand. She’ll bust out of the gate with a little over 100k.
I think Joan will show some good cash. 150 or so. I hear Will has already taken over 225k, the enviro folks from around the US are trying to prove he has a shot. It’s an impressive start if he does, I do not think his money will last.
Then hard work, and a track record of great accomplishments mean nothing.
…if one believes the stories of her imperious attitude toward her caucus.
to rule with an iron fist when you are dependent on votes
People will vote how you tell them to, if they agree with you OR if they are afraid of you (and they think you’ll win…with a vengeance).
Mind you, I have no personal experience with Joan F-G. So I don’t know personally whether she rules with intimidation……but there are many stories that indicate that she does. Maybe those stories are all wrong.
then credit to a 5 foot tall woman for intimidating the rest of her caucus—shows she’ll command respect in washington
have worked hard and accomplished a lot in there own rigt.
Why is Angie Paccione supporting Jared Polis?
If the Senate Caucus was not happy with their leadership they would have voted in someone else
…If so, that might explain some things.
What’s the source for that?
even though he has got the cash, joan has the connections. and more name recognition in that district for sure. we will see but my money is on joan.
Anyone who truly thinks that Polis’ “spotless” record of pro-education hasn’t come from his money alone should take a very close look at the New America Schools.
A “Chief Educational Officer” from Canada who has all but been sued for sexual harassment and harassment running the show, picked by Polis, and hired only as a consultant.
A CFO who brags about how much gas his SUV guzzles while complaining about the cost of running schools. In the meantime they’re trying to open two more in Colorado and three in New Mexico.
And I won’t even go into others. But the rumors about town are true. Teachers and administrators are seeking work elsewhere, all trying to leave NAS before anything more goes wrong.
And Polis? He just glosses it over as “normal”. But then I suppose mistreatment of employees could be considered normal. What about students?